**Potential Tropical Storm Francine to Bring Heavy Rain to Texas: Track and Spaghetti Models Released**


Forecasters are closely monitoring a tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico that is expected to develop into Tropical Storm Francine. The storm is projected to bring heavy rainfall and strong winds to Texas and surrounding areas in the coming days.


According to the National Hurricane Center, the system is likely to strengthen and make landfall along the Texas coast, with potential impacts including flash flooding and dangerous storm surge. Spaghetti models have been released, showing various potential paths for the storm, with most predicting a direct hit to the Texas coastl
ine. Residents are advised to stay updated on weather alerts as the storm progresses.

A low-pressure system over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is continuing to generate a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Although the system lacks a well-defined center, satellite data shows it is producing winds between 40 and 45 miles per hour (mph) on its western side.

Residents in the New Orleans area should be prepared for potential heavy rainfall and flooding concerns. Forecast confidence regarding the potential tropical system begins to decrease by Tuesday, but one thing is certain: a surge of tropical moisture will move into the area.

With already saturated soils, locally heavy downpours of 2 to 3 inches per hour could quickly lead to flash flooding, particularly in areas along and south of the I-10 corridor.

Rain chances will increase significantly by Tuesday into Tuesday night, with cooler temperatures expected. Areas south of I-10 may see highs only reaching the lower 80s, while more inland areas with less storm activity could see temperatures in the mid-80s.

Looking ahead to Wednesday and Thursday, the forecast will heavily depend on the evolution of the tropical system. If the system intensifies, expect more widespread rain, with rainfall rates of 3 to 4 inches per hour in the heaviest bands.

The already waterlogged region may experience more flooding, and breezy conditions with southerly winds of 15 to 20 mph could result in coastal flooding along south-facing shores.